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A free report from Cimigo market research on Indonesia Economic Outlook report 2023. Cimigo assesses the economic trends and expectations for 2023 in Indonesia. Discover the economic and consumer trends in Indonesia.
Indonesia economic outlook report 2023: Five reasons that Indonesia will prosper in the next decade
The Indonesia economic outlook report 2023 explores the five reasons that Indonesia will prosper in the next decade.
Indonesia economic outlook 2023
The report reviews;
- Demographic edge: huge workforce with low dependency ratio.
- GDP growth rate has recovered to pre-pandemic level with a positive trend.
- Positive business sentiments and increased investment.
- The continuous recovery of retail.
- A flourishing digital economy and e-commerce.
1. Demographic edge: huge workforce with low dependency ratio
A huge workforce. The working population is only 50% of the total in 2023, but that equals to almost 140 million people. Employment rate is at 94.5%, 0.4% higher than in 2022. Relatively young workforce. 44% of the working population is aged 20 to 39 years old. Low dependency ratio. 0.6 per employed person hence there is less burden for the working population, resulting in a boost to GDP. Decent female participation in the workforce with 36% of adult (18+) females are working. The workforce is reasonably priced. 2023 minimum monthly wages in Jakarta are ~US$326. This is similar to the minimum in Guangzhou ~US$322.
2. GDP growth rate has recovered to pre-pandemic level with a positive trend
Indonesia’s GDP growth in 2024 is expected to reach 5%. Indonesia’s per capita GDP in 2022 was US$4,783. The Indonesian economy grew by 5% in 2022 with a continued rise in foreign direct investment disbursements by 47%. Key sectors like manufacturing, agriculture, trade, and mining enjoy decent growth while the big winners are transportation and warehousing sector with 15% year-on-year growth and accommodation and F&B with 10% year-on-year growth. Considering all these, it is expected that Indonesia’s GDP will grow by 5% in 2024.
3. Positive business sentiment and increased investment
Indonesia entrepreneurs are becoming more confident as indicated by the 18% increase of Business Tendency Index (BTI) in Q2 2023 compared to the same period last year. In addition to West Java, Central Sulawesi is also one of the provinces with highest amount of investment.
4. Continuous recovery of retail
Increasing number of retail outlets, both traditional and modern, in 2022 compared to 2021. In addition, the total retail sales value has also been trending positively since 2020.
5. Flourishing digital economy and e-commerce
Digital economy is increasing in size by 22% in 2022 compared to the previous year. Indonesia people love to shop online, with electronics, furniture, and fashion goods top the list of e-commerce sales in terms of value. This trend is driven by younger productive segment, mainly millennials and Gen Z.
Indonesia economic outlook 2023
The Indonesia economic outlook report 2023 explores the five reasons that Indonesia will prosper in the next decade.
- Demographic edge: huge workforce with low dependency ratio.
- GDP growth rate has recovered to pre-pandemic level with a positive trend.
- Positive business sentiments and increased investment.
- The continuous recovery of retail.
- A flourishing digital economy and e-commerce.
End.
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