Indonesia car survey: overcoming barriers of car purchase
Oct 08, 2024
Demand for passenger cars is declining The Indonesian automotive market in 2024 presents both
Vietnam GDP 2024 growth jumps to 6.9% in Q2
Vietnam GDP 2024 growth jumps to 6.9% in Q2. In the first half of 2024, Vietnam’s economy displayed a stark contrast between impressive headline GDP growth and underlying sectoral volatility. Vietnam achieved a 6.9% year-on-year GDP growth rate in the second quarter, spurred by strong exports and a manufacturing surge. Yet, domestic consumption lagged, presenting a mixed economic picture.
The manufacturing sector stood out as a significant growth engine for Vietnam GDP 2024, with the Vietnam Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reaching near-record highs due to a surge in new orders. Foreign direct investment (FDI) maintained a healthy pace, and a substantial trade surplus further brightened the economic outlook.
However, underlying concerns remain. Ongoing volatility is expected until at least 2026, exacerbated by delays in government approvals that are unlikely to be resolved before the next national assembly election, expected in May 2026. This bureaucratic stagnation impedes infrastructure spending, a crucial growth driver. Consequently, Cimigo‘s Vietnam GDP 2024 growth forecast remains a cautious 5.7%.
While CEO sentiment in the CEO Pulse survey, measured by the Cimigo and the Business Executive Network, dipped in June, most CEOs remain optimistic about Vietnam’s long-term prospects. Few CEOs expect conditions to worsen, but those expecting improvements have declined significantly.
CEOs remain optimistic about Vietnam’s long-term prospects. Approximately half of the surveyed CEOs expect improvements in their businesses and the Vietnamese economy, though fewer expect the same for the global economy.
The sector experienced the sharpest increase in new business since March 2011.
The Vietnamese manufacturing sector burst into life midway through the year, shrugging off the relatively modest growth in recent months thanks to a rapid increase in new orders. The expansion’s strength in new work highlighted staff shortages at some firms and resulted in an accumulation of outstanding business. In response, firms took on additional staff at a solid pace. The Vietnam Manufacturers Purchasing Managers Index is conducted by Cimigo and compiled by S&P Global.
Muted consumer demand presents a challenge. Retail sales growth remains sluggish, lagging other economic indicators. This can be attributed to a shift in consumer behaviour towards thrift. Consumers prioritise value and delay high-ticket purchases, impacting discretionary spending and essential goods.
Retail expenditure growth, which contributes 55% of the economy, remains sluggish. Sales of goods and services increased by only 2.7% by YTD June 2024 over the same period last year.
Sales of retail goods increased by only 0.9% by YTD June 2024. This is far below inflation, volumes have contracted.
Sales of retail services increased by 9.5% by YTD June 2024, buoyed by a massive increase in the number of inbound tourists to 8,832,271 as of YTD June 2024 (a 58% increase compared with 5,574,969 YTD June 2023).
The recent uptick in manufacturing and exports is expected to gradually translate into improved consumer spending in the latter half of 2024. However, Cimigo expects continued volatility in retail sales. Please see the report here for further analysis.
End.
Indonesia car survey: overcoming barriers of car purchase
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Vietnam uninterrupted: a twenty-year journey
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Trends in Vietnam: Vietnam uninterrupted: a twenty-year journey Trends in Vietnam. Witness
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